11pm Advisory: Hurricane Dorian Nears The North Carolina Coast

Hurricane Dorian inches closer and closer to a North Carolina landfall as it skirts by Cape Fear in North Carolina. Currently, Dorian is sitting about 35 miles SE of Wilmington North Carolina moving NE at 13 miles per hour. Its movement is speeding up and will continue over the next day. Maximum sustained winds are at 100 miles per hour.


The Canadian Hurricane Center has issued a Hurricane Watch for all of Nova Scotia, a Tropical Storm Watch for Prince Edward Island and for the Magdalen Islands, and for New Brunswick from Fundy National Park to Shediac. Also a Tropical Storm Watch was issued for Newfoundland from Francois to Boat Harbour.

The Tropical Storm Warning south of South Santee River has been discontinued.

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 33.8 North, longitude 77.4 West. Dorian is moving toward the northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Dorian will move near or over the coast of North Carolina tonight and Friday. The center should move to the southeast of extreme southeastern New England Friday night and Saturday morning, and approach Nova Scotia later Saturday or Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected during the next few days.

However, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as the center moves near the coasts of South and North Carolina. Dorian is forecast to become a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone by Saturday night as it approaches Nova Scotia.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km). A Weatherflow station located Federal Point, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 61 mph (98 km/h) and a gust to 75 mph (121 km/h). The Johnny Mercer Pier NOAA-NOS station located at Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, recently measured a sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (101 km/h).

The minimum central pressure is estimated to be 958 mb (28.29 inches) based on a recent report of 958.9 mb (28.32 inches) from Frying Pan Shoals buoy located in Dorian's eye.