Tropical Storm Elsa on track to make landfall later this morning or this afternoon in the Big Bend area of Florida. It still has 65 mph maximum sustained winds. As of the 8 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center, Elsa is 35 miles west of Cedar Key and heading north at 14 miles per hour.
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM W OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Warnings have been discontinued
south of the Middle of Longboat Key.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Florida from the Middle of Longboat Key to the
Aucilla River, including Tampa Bay
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Florida from Chassahowitzka to the Steinhatchee
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of Florida from south of Chassahowitzka to the Middle
of Longboat Key
* West coast of Florida north of the Steinhatchee River to
* Mouth of St. Marys River, Georgia to Little River Inlet, South
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of the Aucilla River to the Ochlockonee River, Florida
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of Little River Inlet, South Carolina to Chincoteague,
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Elsa was
located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft and NWS
Doppler radars near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 83.6 West. Elsa
is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and a general
northward motion is expected to continue through this afternoon. A
turn toward the north-northeast is expected late this afternoon or
tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion by late Thursday.
On the forecast track, Elsa will make landfall along the north
Florida Gulf coast by late this morning or this afternoon. The
storm should then move across the southeastern and mid-Atlantic
United States through Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is likely until landfall later
today. Weakening will begin after Elsa moves inland later today.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center. A C-MAN station at Cedar Key, Florida, recently
measured a sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h) gusting to 51 mph (66
The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter observations is 999 mb (29.50 inches).