Bud

Bud

Good Morning Orlando with Simon Conway, Alan Spector Full Bio

 

Early Voting Begins in Florida! How are you doing it? Mail-In? Early? Day?!

RETURN OF THE 1WTP - WE ASK:  How are you voting...in person on election day, voting early, or voting by mail?  Text either DAY, EARLY or MAIL to 23680. 

We'll also look at how day one went for early voting Central Florida. Long lines in many places, but pretty quiet at the Amway Center. Why the contrast? Also, polls still show Biden way up, with some tightening nationally and a bit more in battleground states. We'll hear from Trump, now predicting victory when he says he wasn't so sure 2-3 weeks ago...calling Biden a criminal over the Hunter Biden story. Also, signs this afternoon that a massive CV relief stimulus deal may be about to be struck between Pelosi and the White House...but will Senate go along?

*https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politics/2020-election/os-ne-2020-florida-early-voting-kicks-off-20201019-4ptenafivjhanpkgz5x6sbag64-story.html

*https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/oct/19/trump-campaign-launches-two-week-ad-blitz-predicts/

*https://www.dailymail.co.uk/video/newsalerts/video-2272952/Video-Donald-Trump-calls-Joe-Biden-criminal.html

*https://www.aol.com/article/finance/2020/10/19/coronavirus-stimulus-white-house-ups-offer-to-almost-dollar19-trillion-ahead-of-pelosis-tuesday-deadline/24656289/

As Biden shuts down campaigning until Thursday's debate, while Trump's all over the country holding rallies in key battleground states...while Kamala Harris campaigns in Orlando and only speaks for 13 minutes. My question...are Democrats courting disaster with this strategy? Remember when Hillary failed to campaign in key states at the end?

*https://nypost.com/2020/10/19/biden-calls-lid-on-campaign-events-until-after-next-debate/

*https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politics/2020-election/os-ne-2020-kamala-harris-orlando-20201019-cuqx2dpybbgm3potzfyvtb5z2u-story.html

2 weeks til the election we take our weekly look at the state of the race. See below for some fresh polling info.

I'll make the case that Trump needs to emphasize his track record with the economy and the current comeback, with 3rd qtr stats expected to be very good when they come out just before the election. And, I think Trump needs to de-emphasize personal attacks, disparaging Fauci and calling Biden a criminal. 

Election 2020

Biden

Trump

Spread

RCP National Average

51.3

42.4

Biden +8.9

Top Battlegrounds

49.0

45.0

Biden +4.0

Latest Betting Odds

60.4

39.9

Electoral College

Biden

Trump

Toss Ups

RCP Electoral Map

216

125

197

No Toss Up States

357

181

  • Battlegrounds 

Biden

Trump

Spread

Pennsylvania

48.8

45.0

Biden +3.8

Florida

48.2

46.8

Biden +1.4

North Carolina

48.5

45.8

Biden +2.7

Georgia

47.8

46.6

Biden +1.2

Ohio

46.0

46.5

Trump +0.5

Wisconsin

49.7

43.5

Biden +6.2

2020 vs. 2016

2020

2016

Spread

Top Battlegrounds

D +4.0

D +4.8

Trump +0.8

RCP National Average

D +8.9

D +5.0

Biden +3.9

Favorability Ratings

D +18.3

D +15.8

Biden +2.5

  • NEW YAHOO/YOUGOV POLL- BIDEN UP 11

https://www.aol.com/news/yahoo-news-you-gov-poll-the-tide-turns-against-trump-as-biden-surges-to-his-largestever-lead-among-likely-voters-175644323.html

*538.COM RATES TRUMP'S CHANCE OF WINNING, 2016 VS 2020

2016  13% DT  87% HC

2020  12% DT  88% JBGUEST: PAM BONDI FROM TRUMP'S WHITE HOUSE TEAM JOINS US.

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